The analyst’s advantage in an uncertain world. Structured analysis at AI speed.

Scenario planning, signal identification and AI forecasting, bias detection, news monitoring, publishing, and more.

Swiftly interpret global events and risks, whether you are doing competitive analysis, risk assessment, crisis monitoring, or other research for consequential decisions.

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I wish I had had access to a tool like Hinsley when I was serving as a State Department diplomat and policymaker.

Adoption of Hinsley by national security and diplomatic agencies would significantly enhance analysis and decisionmaking. Hinsley can enforce rigorous methodologies and provide forecasting capabilities beyond current training. This would improve the clarity of U.S. Government analysis and the efficacy of policy decisions.

Geoff Odlum, Former U.S. State Department Foreign Service Officer and Acting Deputy Assistant Secretary of State

AI That Thinks Like an Intelligence Analyst

Hinsley is not just another AI tool. It is purpose-built to replicate the methods used by top analysts. Developed in collaboration with intelligence professionals, corporate strategists, and policy experts, Hinsley transforms complex analytical processes into intuitive, AI-powered workflows.

Start with a critical question or issue you would like to explore and watch as the platform drafts the building blocks of your analysis.

Scenario Development

Generate and refine future scenarios with precision. Explore possible outcomes and track their likelihood over time. Reduce uncertainty with scenario assessments that create strategic foresight.

Decomposition

Automatically map drivers and signals using structured analytical techniques pioneered by legendary CIA analyst Richard Heuer. Break down complex problems into their component parts to identify key influencers and measurable signals.

AI + Human Forecasting

Use our AI Forecaster, already proven for accuracy and providing helpful rationales in multiple, live forecasting sites. Solicit human probabilistic predictions from colleagues or your network directly from Hinsley.

Global Intelligence Monitoring

Hinsley continuously scans the global information landscape in near real time, identifying relevant sources, translating local languages, summarizing key points, and analyzing for bias. Ensure you never miss a critical signal.

Advanced Cognitive Bias Detection

Deploy powerful red teaming methods to identify analytical blind spots in both your writing and sources. Deliver assessments without the cognitive biases that affect even the sharpest analysts before they shape key decisions.

Built to still have your hands on the wheel

Policy and Decision Drafts with Risk Identification

Give Hinsley an objective and it will draft options for policies or decisions to implement while identifying associated risks. You can also draft your own option and still get structured risk analysis.

Collaboration

Hinsley is designed to let AI be your co-pilot on analytic tasks. Add, remove, and edit anything it creates, then invite collaborators to contribute or review.

Auto-Generated Outputs

Hinsley provides export features so results can be shared easily to documents, presentations, and other channels.

LLM Agnostic

Hinsley can be configured to work with different LLM providers, including private and internal model deployments.

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Wisdom of the AI Frontier Crowd

Hinsley's research agents continuously monitor open source and your proprietary information to send to the leading AI frontier models for their probability-based forecasts and analyst-grade explanation of their thinking.

Here's How the Hinsley AI Forecaster Works

Research

Before forecasting, Hinsley's research agents scan the web, and optionally, your proprietary information, for relevant information so every probability estimate is grounded in current intelligence.

Structured Reasoning

Multiple AI forecasters independently analyze base rates, weigh current evidence, assess arguments for and against, and factor in how much time remains. No black-box outputs — every estimate comes with a step-by-step rationale.

Aggregate & Synthesize

Using techniques we've honed for over a decade, individual AI forecasts are aggregated across models, combined with any human predictions, and synthesized into a unified probability estimate with a summary, all updated automatically on a schedule you choose.

Hosting and Security

Hinsley is hosted on Amazon AWS and increases reliability through redundancy, daily backups, and a disaster recovery plan.

Private, isolated Hinsley instances and on-premise instances are available for organizations that require additional control.

Whether shared or private instance, Hinsley includes the following safeguards.

Strong SSL encryption from server to browser
Encrypted data at rest
Firewalled and monitored servers
Managed stack maintenance
Data retention controls
Two-factor authentication

Cultivate Labs SOC 2 Type 2 Audit

Cultivate Labs, the company behind Hinsley, completes an annual SOC 2 Type II audit conducted by a leading national accounting and advisory firm. The audit affirms that Cultivate's information security practices, policies, procedures, and operations meet SOC 2 Type 2 standards for security, availability, and confidentiality.

The Hinsley Advantage: Intelligence Tradecraft plus AI Power

Quality That Matters

Improves analysis quality and accuracy by challenging assumptions.
Promotes understanding of alternative and edge outcomes.
Leverages internal knowledge bases alongside public information for broader and deeper coverage.

Speed That Transforms

Generates output drafts modeled on organizational templates in seconds.
Processes like red teaming and debiasing can take minutes, not weeks.
Reduces workshops and repetitive meetings by accelerating imaginative analysis.

Cost Efficiency That Scales

Creates cost savings by optimizing internal resources.
Focuses and minimizes spend on consultants and subject matter experts.
Broadens the scope of what your team can cover and track.

Whether you are a financial analyst, government intelligence officer, a corporate strategist, or part of a think tank tackling complex global challenges, Hinsley is your AI-powered partner in structured analysis. Contact us to discuss how Hinsley can bring speed, structure, and rigor to your analysis.