Multiple choice forecasting questions

Forecasting questions are no longer limited to Yes/No. You can now create questions with any number of custom answer options, making it easy to track things like election candidates, geopolitical scenarios, or any situation where the outcome has more than two possibilities.

When submitting a forecast on a multiple choice question, you distribute your probability across every answer. You'll see how the group's confidence is spread at a glance, with each option shown as a labeled bar. You can also drill into any individual answer from the Summary tab to see how forecasts for that specific option have shifted over time. HinsleyBot forecasts across all options simultaneously, giving you an AI perspective on the full range of possibilities.

Crowdsourcing campaigns

You can now collect forecasts and scenario likelihood assessments from people outside your immediate team. From any analysis, create a crowdsourcing campaign, add the forecasting questions and scenario sets you want input on, and share a link. Respondents work through a step-by-step survey, and their answers flow directly into your analysis.

Campaigns support email invitations, customizable instructions, and a public link option so anyone can respond without needing an account. You control who can participate, and you can track responses as they come in from the campaign's response dashboard.